NFL open thread, the Super Bowl “Tickets as reduced as $5,531!” version

Ed: Right after two straight 2- months, it falls to me to compose the last NFL open up thread submit of the season. With my postseason document at 6-4 and only this sport still left, I have wrapped up the playoff crown, just after Jazz conquer me for the regular-year title. It’s been an unusual season, with not just a single but two groups seemingly spending numerous months of it hoping to get the worst history in soccer, and Cincinnati lastly succeeding at it. The playoffs have been appealing as properly, with massive surprises like the Tennessee Titans going all the way to the AFC championship while the Patriots and Ravens, er … didn’t even control to get one particular playoff match concerning them. Who would’ve guessed that?

In the finish, though, we have two credible and dominant teams coming into this game, the 49ers and the Chiefs, neither 1 of which bought in by a fluke.

Jazz: I managed my first playoff 2- in the convention championships, bringing me to a a little much less dismal 4-6 history. But since Ed also nailed the two game titles it didn’t do nearly anything for my prospective clients. I doff my cap to my close friend Ed for a fantastic article-year performance and a perfectly deserved gain for the next portion of our period. I’ll be forced to huddle up with my common season trophy for comfort. If very little else, we can be part of in with at least 90% of the region and be grateful that we will not be watching the Patriots right now. I have no plan what the new time will keep for the Jets or the Steelers future fall, but we’ll be confident to satisfy you back in this article for the regular enjoyment and video games. (Very well.. games, in any case.)

Ed: Let’s break this down by squads:

  • Offense — The two teams are nearly similar on the O-side. The 49ers acquired 381 yards for every game for the duration of the normal year, and the Chiefs acquired 379. San Francisco scored 29.9 details for every sport, and the Chiefs scored 28.2 points for each match. The significant difference here — and it came up in the NFC championship recreation — is that the 49ers hurry for 45 far more yards for each video game, allowing them to command the clock. That performs in opposition to most opponents, but … it is not likely to get the job done against the Chiefs, whose offensive is explosive and swift. The Titans tried to engage in that activity versus Kansas Town with Derrick Henry and bought stuffed. A healthy Patrick Mahomes can appear back in a hurry, substantially far more so than Aaron Rodgers and Inexperienced Bay could, as we saw in equally . Edge: Kansas City, at least by an edge.
  • Defense — If we search at yards authorized, it’s no contest that San Francisco arrives out on top. Having said that, Kansas Metropolis gave up slightly fewer details all through the common season (308 to 310). Their defense is on the area for a longer period since their offense scores additional details speedily in opposition to most opponents. Each groups give up around 110 yards hurrying for each game, but KC’s passing protection offers up 53 yards much more for each sport than San Francisco’s. Benefit: 49ers, but only a little bit.
  • Particular teams and turnovers — There’s not a great deal of great information out there on exclusive teams, but it’s really worth noting that only KC has scored on a kickoff or punt in the standard year. Both of those have decent punt games, but the Chiefs are slightly superior on limiting returns on punts (4.7 yards to SF’s 5.7 yards). The Chiefs’ industry-purpose percentage is greater at 89.5%, when the 49ers only built 76.9% of their attempts, but SF’s improved at additional factors (98% to 93.8%). Now that Robby Gould is again for the 49ers, however, it’s likely nearer to even.  On turnovers, nonetheless, Kansas City is a +8 for the calendar year, though San Francisco is only +4. The difference is primarily in the 49ers’s propensity to fumble (13, to KC’s 5). Take note properly that the Chiefs have eleven more takeaways this time than the 49ers. All round gain: Kansas City.

This should be an exciting recreation. I’d forecast that San Francisco jumps out to an early direct, but that Patrick Mahomes turns it on in the next quarter and by no means seems to be again. Kansas Metropolis 31-21 over San Francisco. What ever takes place, while, I’ll be seeing from my residence instead than purchasing the $5,531 tickets Vivid Seating is hawking at the minute. I can buy a complete lotta televisions with that sort of hard cash.

Jazz: Ed by now poached most of the great details, so I will not rehash all of that broken down by squads. Over-all, these two groups are really evenly matched, and Ed is proper in indicating that neither of them obtained listed here on a fluke or some botched contact by a ref at a important second. They equally fought for each yard they logged and every has a fair shot at hoisting the Lombardi Trophy when the dust settles.

While the two teams have a great deal heading for them on each sides of the ball, the 49ers have arguably been much more spectacular on defense. This is relatively offset by the reality that they have relied closely on their ground sport on offense, grinding out yards whilst the Chiefs depend on Patrick Mahomes’ cannon of an arm and Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill using turns hauling them in. But as Ed mentions, Kansas City’s defense winds up expending a whole lot of time on the field, leaving them additional worn out in the 2nd fifty percent. Also, Mahomes’ does not facial area the sort of hurrying pressure he’ll be viewing from Kyle Shanahan and firm each individual week.

I’m envisioning a state of affairs pretty substantially the reverse of Ed’s, where by Kansas Metropolis puts up some huge passing yards and takes the direct early, but as the activity plays out, the defensive force starts to wear down equally Mahomes and his front four. After that, blunders start out occurring although San Francisco just grinds out the yards and the points for a second half comeback. As in former yrs, if I have to decide concerning the more powerful defense and the stronger offense in a championship scenario, I’ll nearly usually put my have confidence in in the defense. I discover Kansas City to be the extra sympathetic crew in my coronary heart and I form of hope I’m improper, but I’ll go with the 49ers over the Chiefs 27-24 in an fascinating complete.

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